Jacqueline Market View

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UK shares+0.30% Crypto mood68, Greed Shares are rising even as investor nervousness rises too, which is an unusual pairing. Share prices are delayed by up to 15 minutes.

Today  ·  Friday 18 September, 07:45 BST

Worked out automatically, updated through the day

Markets are confident today.

Crypto and shares are both up, and most parts of the market are joining in.

Where the market sits today

Yesterday this sat at balanced, so today is a step up.

Five of the six things we watch agree today. The odd one out is investor nervousness, measured by , which is rising when it would normally fall on a day like this.

The VIX estimates how much movement investors expect in US shares over the coming month. It rises when people are nervous, which is why it is often called the fear index. This page reads it through a fund that follows VIX futures, which moves the same way on the day without being the same number.

Tap each tile to see what it measures and why it matters.

The five largest coins by total value, weighted by size. They are picked by size alone, never chosen by us. Three tenths of this reading is the crypto mood, which you can see under Look closer.
The 500 largest companies listed in the United States, and the usual shorthand for how shares are doing.
The VIX estimates how much movement investors expect in US shares over the coming month. It rises when people are nervous, which is why it is often called the fear index. This page reads it through a fund that follows VIX futures, which moves the same way on the day without being the same number.
The US dollar measured against a basket of other major currencies. A weaker dollar usually makes riskier assets more attractive, which is why a falling dollar agrees with a confident day.
Gold only counts on days it moves against the dollar, because when the two move together the reason for the move is unclear. It is read through a fund that holds gold, so the move matches the gold price.
Breadth counts how many of the eleven parts of the US market rose. A rise most of them join is broader, and usually steadier, than one carried by a handful of companies. Look closer shows which ones.

“Agrees” means a reading points the same way as most of the others. It describes today, not tomorrow.

Look closer Which parts of the market moved, and the crypto mood

Where the market moved

The eleven parts of the US market, and which way each went today.

Rising 7
  • Energy+2.40%
  • Technology+1.80%
  • Media and telecoms+1.20%
  • Shops, cars and leisure+0.90%
  • Household staples+0.60%
  • Industry+0.30%
  • Banks and insurers+0.20%
Falling 4
  • Healthcare−0.30%
  • Utilities−0.50%
  • Materials and mining−1.10%
  • Property−1.60%

The crypto mood

68 Greed
Extreme fearExtreme greed

Up 11 since yesterday.

A daily score from 0 to 100 of how fearful or greedy crypto traders are, published by Alternative.me. It makes up three tenths of the crypto reading.

The Jacqueline Read

Every Sunday  ·  next one Sunday 20 September
Jacqueline

The story of the week was the gap between what markets did and how people felt about it. Prices climbed steadily, and nervousness climbed with them, which is not the usual pairing. I have seen that resolve both ways before, so I am not reading it as a warning. I am reading it as something unfinished.

What I’m watching this week

Whether nervousness settles back towards where it started the month, and whether shares can keep rising without crypto coming along. That second one would be the first real break in the pattern that has held since August.

Listen, 4 min Jacqueline  ·  written and recorded Sunday 13 September Past weeks →

Coming up this week

Tue 22 Sep US consumer confidence Could move shares
Wed 23 Sep Federal Reserve interest rate decision Could move everything
Thu 24 Sep UK inflation figures Could move the pound
How this is worked out The method, the weights and where the numbers come from

How this is worked out

Six readings are taken every day and combined into one position on the scale above. They do not count equally. Crypto carries the most weight because this is a crypto-led read, and gold is left out entirely on the days it moves the same way as the dollar, because that makes the reason for its move unclear.

Crypto 30%Shares 20%Nervousness 15% How broad the move is 15%The dollar 10%Gold 10%
Where the numbers come from
CoinGecko  ·  Twelve Data
Alternative.me Fear & Greed
Kept on the record
Every day is saved and never edited
See the track record →
Take 2 mins to learn more The risks the FCA wants you to know about before investing in cryptoassets

1. You could lose all the money you invest

Prices can fall as fast as they rise, and the market is largely unregulated, so money can also be lost to cyber-attacks, crime, or a firm failing.

2. You should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong

The Financial Services Compensation Scheme does not cover this, and the Financial Ombudsman Service cannot look at most complaints about it.

3. You may not be able to sell when you want to

There is no guarantee a buyer is there when you want one, and outages or firm failures can hold a sale up.

4. Cryptoasset investments can be complex

They are hard to understand, which makes the risks hard to judge. Do your own research first.

5. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket

Spreading money across different investments makes you less dependent on any one of them. A common rule of thumb is to keep high-risk investments under 10% of your money.

These five headings are the Financial Conduct Authority’s, from its prescribed risk summary for qualifying cryptoassets. The explanations are ours, in plain English. The authoritative version is COBS 4 Annex 1R.